{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2026:QYN4JN67AVUABRH242OPLLAO3Q","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"e52e2da47ccf40d67b01a18a4af4e6a80ba7f734582d7f5f534e8dc5e8c12c9f","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.MA","submitted_at":"2026-07-08T17:49:08Z","title_canon_sha256":"b9918da4fb4f893e3246bba47c816b830871993e5ec6cb9588583fdaf2a0c1dd"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2607.07689","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2607.07689","created_at":"2026-07-09T01:20:39Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2607.07689v1","created_at":"2026-07-09T01:20:39Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2607.07689","created_at":"2026-07-09T01:20:39Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"QYN4JN67AVUA","created_at":"2026-07-09T01:20:39Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"QYN4JN67AVUABRH2","created_at":"2026-07-09T01:20:39Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"QYN4JN67","created_at":"2026-07-09T01:20:39Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:32c62113ced6fa41b49ea07d01fb0a163ae216f20d234ffad3fbb4a6db306d78","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-07-09T01:20:39Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"integrity":{"available":true,"clean":true,"detectors_run":[],"endpoint":"/pith/2607.07689/integrity.json","findings":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938","summary":{"advisory":0,"by_detector":{},"critical":0,"informational":0}},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"Long-horizon LLM multi-agent systems face reliability risks invisible to infrastructure monitoring. We propose the ADE Predictive Reliability Framework (ADE-PRF), enabling proactive health trajectory prediction from passive degradation detection. ADE-PRF aggregates 20 heterogeneous signals across five layers into a Trust Margin (TM) metric (39.2-point dynamic range). Triple-method parallel prediction enables 8-hour forecasts: the Exponential method achieves MAE=1.228, Direction Accuracy=76.8%, with 99.65% within +/-10-point tolerance. Production validation spans 380,227 predictions and 280,579","authors_text":"Dexing Liu (Shanghai Qijing Digital Technology Co., Ltd)","cross_cats":[],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.MA","submitted_at":"2026-07-08T17:49:08Z","title":"Agent Delivery Engineering Predictive Reliability Framework"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2607.07689","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:0a9539442433ce89b825d6260bdef8fef5aaa5d692e1e42df7717480e9a49ddc","target":"record","created_at":"2026-07-09T01:20:39Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"e52e2da47ccf40d67b01a18a4af4e6a80ba7f734582d7f5f534e8dc5e8c12c9f","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.MA","submitted_at":"2026-07-08T17:49:08Z","title_canon_sha256":"b9918da4fb4f893e3246bba47c816b830871993e5ec6cb9588583fdaf2a0c1dd"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2607.07689","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"861bc4b7df056800c4fae69cf5ac0edc0f90362d69da273e7d924f58a3b17d0c","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"861bc4b7df056800c4fae69cf5ac0edc0f90362d69da273e7d924f58a3b17d0c","first_computed_at":"2026-07-09T01:20:39.225777Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-07-09T01:20:39.225777Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"zDP/g+V27gzhKRKvPFjY5W2N4xXXFhFpNlwDJACU4b8YwpV1e8oOVRt8MqTBAnV8Qv5DpYbgCHCFlgkPlLVwDg==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-07-09T01:20:39.226217Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"2607.07689","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:0a9539442433ce89b825d6260bdef8fef5aaa5d692e1e42df7717480e9a49ddc","sha256:32c62113ced6fa41b49ea07d01fb0a163ae216f20d234ffad3fbb4a6db306d78"],"state_sha256":"c8f2ab2ce032493fbe24bf58f360a89c96a7e74462e9af187126a8e251fadc12"}