{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2021:UPVCCVOCBHZKOS7O7TR6BADFTU","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"7272fc8170cae330c6ba02855e414b8ba78600c2fc58a962b88fb494e2d47465","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.LG","stat.ML"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2021-06-01T01:37:32Z","title_canon_sha256":"5fa56a044a5d98b8c99743ad68bcbcc6669149fcb24b3221f5f5a0c85cb666cf"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2106.00170","kind":"arxiv","version":3}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2106.00170","created_at":"2026-07-05T03:39:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2106.00170v3","created_at":"2026-07-05T03:39:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2106.00170","created_at":"2026-07-05T03:39:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"UPVCCVOCBHZK","created_at":"2026-07-05T03:39:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"UPVCCVOCBHZKOS7O","created_at":"2026-07-05T03:39:15Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"UPVCCVOC","created_at":"2026-07-05T03:39:15Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:3a3eb84daa14fbe7cac48860b2f40c8baede884a072ff29b7e1d67307496dc96","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-07-05T03:39:15Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"integrity":{"available":true,"clean":true,"detectors_run":[],"endpoint":"/pith/2106.00170/integrity.json","findings":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938","summary":{"advisory":0,"by_detector":{},"critical":0,"informational":0}},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"We develop methods for forming prediction sets in an online setting where the data generating distribution is allowed to vary over time in an unknown fashion. Our framework builds on ideas from conformal inference to provide a general wrapper that can be combined with any black box method that produces point predictions of the unseen label or estimated quantiles of its distribution. While previous conformal inference methods rely on the assumption that the data points are exchangeable, our adaptive approach provably achieves the desired coverage frequency over long-time intervals irrespective ","authors_text":"Emmanuel Cand\\`es, Isaac Gibbs","cross_cats":["cs.LG","stat.ML"],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2021-06-01T01:37:32Z","title":"Adaptive Conformal Inference Under Distribution Shift"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2106.00170","kind":"arxiv","version":3},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:90d456df2c99d06340df4ef3161f470a92657f6dc6a8b74e1fe3a399088a9a93","target":"record","created_at":"2026-07-05T03:39:15Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"7272fc8170cae330c6ba02855e414b8ba78600c2fc58a962b88fb494e2d47465","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.LG","stat.ML"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"stat.ME","submitted_at":"2021-06-01T01:37:32Z","title_canon_sha256":"5fa56a044a5d98b8c99743ad68bcbcc6669149fcb24b3221f5f5a0c85cb666cf"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2106.00170","kind":"arxiv","version":3}},"canonical_sha256":"a3ea2155c209f2a74beefce3e080659d292b6bd436ccfc44a5bbf21e95c5e1db","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"a3ea2155c209f2a74beefce3e080659d292b6bd436ccfc44a5bbf21e95c5e1db","first_computed_at":"2026-07-05T03:39:15.250655Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-07-05T03:39:15.250655Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"2B5aHhjZydY68B0wQwdKJMcTL6wWpcPYvR0U7X4oKnbzn4igkMap+eQIrgZHYdIfZ8Ok70s/RK754qbP1rkQAQ==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-07-05T03:39:15.251136Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"2106.00170","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":3}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:90d456df2c99d06340df4ef3161f470a92657f6dc6a8b74e1fe3a399088a9a93","sha256:3a3eb84daa14fbe7cac48860b2f40c8baede884a072ff29b7e1d67307496dc96"],"state_sha256":"7ec8326c0ae69dc15ccf31f29471940a09a22e1c83f4988e4532581092f2bce6"}