{"bundle_type":"pith_open_graph_bundle","bundle_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2025:V4AM7JQZ35VI3M465ASYXDAKJA","short_pith_number":"pith:V4AM7JQZ","canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2507.02110","kind":"arxiv","version":3},"metadata":{"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"cs.SE","submitted_at":"2025-07-02T19:47:41Z","cross_cats_sorted":[],"title_canon_sha256":"5228af37ff388c4b27a73762d198c622b34a6991b315c8eaed28b039c4acd2a2","abstract_canon_sha256":"db079aa26c1331ea3f256ba1de47afb2e36c82e58edf427767f63adb5b208726"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"af00cfa619df6a8db39ee8258b8c0a482bf85bc9066eeffaf04838a13a8d9776","source":{"kind":"arxiv","id":"2507.02110","version":3},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2507.02110","created_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2507.02110v3","created_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2507.02110","created_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"V4AM7JQZ35VI","created_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"V4AM7JQZ35VI3M46","created_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"V4AM7JQZ","created_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45Z"}],"events":[{"event_type":"record_created","subject_pith_number":"pith:2025:V4AM7JQZ35VI3M465ASYXDAKJA","target":"record","payload":{"canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2507.02110","kind":"arxiv","version":3},"metadata":{"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"cs.SE","submitted_at":"2025-07-02T19:47:41Z","cross_cats_sorted":[],"title_canon_sha256":"5228af37ff388c4b27a73762d198c622b34a6991b315c8eaed28b039c4acd2a2","abstract_canon_sha256":"db079aa26c1331ea3f256ba1de47afb2e36c82e58edf427767f63adb5b208726"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"af00cfa619df6a8db39ee8258b8c0a482bf85bc9066eeffaf04838a13a8d9776","receipt":{"kind":"pith_receipt","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","signed_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45.105536Z","signature_b64":"wznxEvUVHKwyirB+RyNx7+Lf2vBxW4JXMxk5IbCiY8qh9k0S6Jf9iHvIW3HJIdz121u98URHCbbPqaiPNnGlBg==","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","receipt_version":"0.3","canonical_sha256":"af00cfa619df6a8db39ee8258b8c0a482bf85bc9066eeffaf04838a13a8d9776","last_reissued_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45.105040Z","signature_status":"signed_v1","first_computed_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45.105040Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"source_kind":"arxiv","source_id":"2507.02110","source_version":3,"attestation_state":"computed"},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"lxHGZEql6TwXRoGyMdce8HHzFulRTLrQD1PKiwyWWIIc474HJH+PZwnnzJjveNIw/qmt4Q/Mki/bstBg7tsRDg==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-07-28T04:01:28.845483Z"},"content_sha256":"7cd1f844afe6babe1d7e7155aa741dc0d90ef4f0064a61c4290352afddb92908","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:7cd1f844afe6babe1d7e7155aa741dc0d90ef4f0064a61c4290352afddb92908"},{"event_type":"graph_snapshot","subject_pith_number":"pith:2025:V4AM7JQZ35VI3M465ASYXDAKJA","target":"graph","payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"paper":{"title":"Moderately Mighty: To What Extent Can Internal Software Metrics Predict App Popularity at Launch?","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":[],"primary_cat":"cs.SE","authors_text":"Fatima Islam Mouri, Md Nahidul Islam Opu, Rick Kazman, Shaiful Chowdhury, Yuanfang Cai","submitted_at":"2025-07-02T19:47:41Z","abstract_excerpt":"Predicting a mobile app's popularity before its first release can provide developers with a strategic advantage in a competitive marketplace, yet it remains a challenging problem. This study explores the extent to which internal software metrics, measurable from source code before deployment, can predict an app's popularity (i.e., ratings and downloads per year) at inception. For our analysis, we constructed a rigorously filtered dataset of 446 open-source Java-based Android apps that are available on both F-Droid and Google Play Store. Using app source code from F-Droid, we extracted a wide a"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2507.02110","kind":"arxiv","version":3},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2507.02110/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"},"verdict_id":null},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"R9+0IyOKHcd5W2+ZIj1wQIepbL/ndvyOoKwVBpe0oA1cl35LqUcRrSB2lWODhMMYTAWiXjrRiUKfcuenVdcSCQ==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-07-28T04:01:28.845888Z"},"content_sha256":"22c5ac223bba87ac7c0ed343d60a209d7490b7f635cabe62a4d613b6a68b0b5b","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:22c5ac223bba87ac7c0ed343d60a209d7490b7f635cabe62a4d613b6a68b0b5b"}],"timestamp_proofs":[],"mirror_hints":[{"mirror_type":"https","name":"Pith Resolver","base_url":"https://pith.science","bundle_url":"https://pith.science/pith/V4AM7JQZ35VI3M465ASYXDAKJA/bundle.json","state_url":"https://pith.science/pith/V4AM7JQZ35VI3M465ASYXDAKJA/state.json","well_known_bundle_url":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/V4AM7JQZ35VI3M465ASYXDAKJA/bundle.json","status":"primary"}],"public_keys":[{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","format":"raw","public_key_b64":"stVStoiQhXFxp4s2pdzPNoqVNBMojDU/fJ2db5S3CbM=","public_key_hex":"b2d552b68890857171a78b36a5dccf368a953413288c353f7c9d9d6f94b709b3","fingerprint_sha256_b32_first128bits":"RVFV5Z2OI2J3ZUO7ERDEBCYNKS","fingerprint_sha256_hex":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","rotates_at":null,"url":"https://pith.science/pith-signing-key.json","notes":"Pith uses this Ed25519 key to sign canonical record SHA-256 digests. Verify with: ed25519_verify(public_key, message=canonical_sha256_bytes, signature=base64decode(signature_b64))."}],"merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","built_at":"2026-07-28T04:01:28Z","links":{"resolver":"https://pith.science/pith/V4AM7JQZ35VI3M465ASYXDAKJA","bundle":"https://pith.science/pith/V4AM7JQZ35VI3M465ASYXDAKJA/bundle.json","state":"https://pith.science/pith/V4AM7JQZ35VI3M465ASYXDAKJA/state.json","well_known_bundle":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/V4AM7JQZ35VI3M465ASYXDAKJA/bundle.json"},"state":{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2025:V4AM7JQZ35VI3M465ASYXDAKJA","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"db079aa26c1331ea3f256ba1de47afb2e36c82e58edf427767f63adb5b208726","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"cs.SE","submitted_at":"2025-07-02T19:47:41Z","title_canon_sha256":"5228af37ff388c4b27a73762d198c622b34a6991b315c8eaed28b039c4acd2a2"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2507.02110","kind":"arxiv","version":3}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2507.02110","created_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2507.02110v3","created_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2507.02110","created_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"V4AM7JQZ35VI","created_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"V4AM7JQZ35VI3M46","created_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"V4AM7JQZ","created_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:22c5ac223bba87ac7c0ed343d60a209d7490b7f635cabe62a4d613b6a68b0b5b","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"integrity":{"available":true,"clean":true,"detectors_run":[],"endpoint":"/pith/2507.02110/integrity.json","findings":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938","summary":{"advisory":0,"by_detector":{},"critical":0,"informational":0}},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"Predicting a mobile app's popularity before its first release can provide developers with a strategic advantage in a competitive marketplace, yet it remains a challenging problem. This study explores the extent to which internal software metrics, measurable from source code before deployment, can predict an app's popularity (i.e., ratings and downloads per year) at inception. For our analysis, we constructed a rigorously filtered dataset of 446 open-source Java-based Android apps that are available on both F-Droid and Google Play Store. Using app source code from F-Droid, we extracted a wide a","authors_text":"Fatima Islam Mouri, Md Nahidul Islam Opu, Rick Kazman, Shaiful Chowdhury, Yuanfang Cai","cross_cats":[],"headline":"","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"cs.SE","submitted_at":"2025-07-02T19:47:41Z","title":"Moderately Mighty: To What Extent Can Internal Software Metrics Predict App Popularity at Launch?"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2507.02110","kind":"arxiv","version":3},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:7cd1f844afe6babe1d7e7155aa741dc0d90ef4f0064a61c4290352afddb92908","target":"record","created_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"db079aa26c1331ea3f256ba1de47afb2e36c82e58edf427767f63adb5b208726","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"cs.SE","submitted_at":"2025-07-02T19:47:41Z","title_canon_sha256":"5228af37ff388c4b27a73762d198c622b34a6991b315c8eaed28b039c4acd2a2"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2507.02110","kind":"arxiv","version":3}},"canonical_sha256":"af00cfa619df6a8db39ee8258b8c0a482bf85bc9066eeffaf04838a13a8d9776","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"af00cfa619df6a8db39ee8258b8c0a482bf85bc9066eeffaf04838a13a8d9776","first_computed_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45.105040Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45.105040Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"wznxEvUVHKwyirB+RyNx7+Lf2vBxW4JXMxk5IbCiY8qh9k0S6Jf9iHvIW3HJIdz121u98URHCbbPqaiPNnGlBg==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-07-05T12:09:45.105536Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"2507.02110","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":3}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:7cd1f844afe6babe1d7e7155aa741dc0d90ef4f0064a61c4290352afddb92908","sha256:22c5ac223bba87ac7c0ed343d60a209d7490b7f635cabe62a4d613b6a68b0b5b"],"state_sha256":"ea9c0e77e2f68c4ed88bb7f6c3dc6e16f330debea500d2ead84a0d8322c1f441"},"bundle_signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"6TFIwFpCOvA3osYwASAeN0KU8QYGvrCCw4UAJ8+0y3z1bKWXYtUZ36z2PHRrRAK0Lum0PR568k97gc9jaM1vAw==","signed_message":"bundle_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-07-28T04:01:28.848471Z","bundle_sha256":"56e8634f1405906a69f1541323769f0d97844ff3fc824731ac6591cb5f674c29"}}