{"bundle_type":"pith_open_graph_bundle","bundle_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2024:WPQA7PD3GRUT4CZR2YEKRCXIOW","short_pith_number":"pith:WPQA7PD3","canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2407.05778","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"cs.CL","submitted_at":"2024-07-08T09:37:27Z","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.AI"],"title_canon_sha256":"2e65a56249b15e97ceb0dbebf4a1471cbbb6be017d5e0ffd1e828f4e5b96c1c4","abstract_canon_sha256":"c894d85d761b23e51201a46c2d151cf12d232a4bbefb532358ab0ed5fd0b24a5"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"b3e00fbc7b34693e0b31d608a88ae8759e5391e7753bd4beb533819a4f29a200","source":{"kind":"arxiv","id":"2407.05778","version":1},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2407.05778","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2407.05778v1","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2407.05778","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"WPQA7PD3GRUT","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"WPQA7PD3GRUT4CZR","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"WPQA7PD3","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18Z"}],"events":[{"event_type":"record_created","subject_pith_number":"pith:2024:WPQA7PD3GRUT4CZR2YEKRCXIOW","target":"record","payload":{"canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2407.05778","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"cs.CL","submitted_at":"2024-07-08T09:37:27Z","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.AI"],"title_canon_sha256":"2e65a56249b15e97ceb0dbebf4a1471cbbb6be017d5e0ffd1e828f4e5b96c1c4","abstract_canon_sha256":"c894d85d761b23e51201a46c2d151cf12d232a4bbefb532358ab0ed5fd0b24a5"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"b3e00fbc7b34693e0b31d608a88ae8759e5391e7753bd4beb533819a4f29a200","receipt":{"kind":"pith_receipt","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","signed_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18.590253Z","signature_b64":"dWN9YVee6otytI29F+J7cHrPRbtKeZLKIGQhvLBzaIhq5qamPCP8BtUP1KsUQ0Kst9R7NJm2CAf/9GisqPxoAw==","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","receipt_version":"0.3","canonical_sha256":"b3e00fbc7b34693e0b31d608a88ae8759e5391e7753bd4beb533819a4f29a200","last_reissued_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18.589753Z","signature_status":"signed_v1","first_computed_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18.589753Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"source_kind":"arxiv","source_id":"2407.05778","source_version":1,"attestation_state":"computed"},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"W6iwRFqFgL1Bnssc7GHU1SXvLFWP+jUQ/Kialf6M34ajmEHuomnsj4OGzrUeTHXU9daRYWXss3BKCepIm8wzAA==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-04T02:45:42.320995Z"},"content_sha256":"ca3eb8b0383d758777f961042ff8b9bdc66d8bdef8adc7eee44dd9d60a663244","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:ca3eb8b0383d758777f961042ff8b9bdc66d8bdef8adc7eee44dd9d60a663244"},{"event_type":"graph_snapshot","subject_pith_number":"pith:2024:WPQA7PD3GRUT4CZR2YEKRCXIOW","target":"graph","payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"paper":{"title":"When is the consistent prediction likely to be a correct prediction?","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":["cs.AI"],"primary_cat":"cs.CL","authors_text":"Alex Nguyen, Chengyu Dong, Dheeraj Mekala, Jingbo Shang","submitted_at":"2024-07-08T09:37:27Z","abstract_excerpt":"Self-consistency (Wang et al., 2023) suggests that the most consistent answer obtained through large language models (LLMs) is more likely to be correct. In this paper, we challenge this argument and propose a nuanced correction. Our observations indicate that consistent answers derived through more computation i.e. longer reasoning texts, rather than simply the most consistent answer across all outputs, are more likely to be correct. This is predominantly because we demonstrate that LLMs can autonomously produce chain-of-thought (CoT) style reasoning with no custom prompts merely while genera"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2407.05778","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2407.05778/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"},"verdict_id":null},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"YUf3Mq7FAse5G8XSouYRENsd8z6VTbgPjRrdklN9DQRYTSP1FRKrAJLqG3/9UBgQs37aMhG49WVw5XVNLbkoDQ==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-04T02:45:42.323617Z"},"content_sha256":"190faa0ff86e977ac6da17bb3aea394a771b68c8b0f64d6232a0041eaab46a93","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:190faa0ff86e977ac6da17bb3aea394a771b68c8b0f64d6232a0041eaab46a93"}],"timestamp_proofs":[],"mirror_hints":[{"mirror_type":"https","name":"Pith Resolver","base_url":"https://pith.science","bundle_url":"https://pith.science/pith/WPQA7PD3GRUT4CZR2YEKRCXIOW/bundle.json","state_url":"https://pith.science/pith/WPQA7PD3GRUT4CZR2YEKRCXIOW/state.json","well_known_bundle_url":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/WPQA7PD3GRUT4CZR2YEKRCXIOW/bundle.json","status":"primary"}],"public_keys":[{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","format":"raw","public_key_b64":"stVStoiQhXFxp4s2pdzPNoqVNBMojDU/fJ2db5S3CbM=","public_key_hex":"b2d552b68890857171a78b36a5dccf368a953413288c353f7c9d9d6f94b709b3","fingerprint_sha256_b32_first128bits":"RVFV5Z2OI2J3ZUO7ERDEBCYNKS","fingerprint_sha256_hex":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","rotates_at":null,"url":"https://pith.science/pith-signing-key.json","notes":"Pith uses this Ed25519 key to sign canonical record SHA-256 digests. Verify with: ed25519_verify(public_key, message=canonical_sha256_bytes, signature=base64decode(signature_b64))."}],"merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","built_at":"2026-08-04T02:45:42Z","links":{"resolver":"https://pith.science/pith/WPQA7PD3GRUT4CZR2YEKRCXIOW","bundle":"https://pith.science/pith/WPQA7PD3GRUT4CZR2YEKRCXIOW/bundle.json","state":"https://pith.science/pith/WPQA7PD3GRUT4CZR2YEKRCXIOW/state.json","well_known_bundle":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/WPQA7PD3GRUT4CZR2YEKRCXIOW/bundle.json"},"state":{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2024:WPQA7PD3GRUT4CZR2YEKRCXIOW","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"c894d85d761b23e51201a46c2d151cf12d232a4bbefb532358ab0ed5fd0b24a5","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.AI"],"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"cs.CL","submitted_at":"2024-07-08T09:37:27Z","title_canon_sha256":"2e65a56249b15e97ceb0dbebf4a1471cbbb6be017d5e0ffd1e828f4e5b96c1c4"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2407.05778","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2407.05778","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2407.05778v1","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2407.05778","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"WPQA7PD3GRUT","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"WPQA7PD3GRUT4CZR","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"WPQA7PD3","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:190faa0ff86e977ac6da17bb3aea394a771b68c8b0f64d6232a0041eaab46a93","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"integrity":{"available":true,"clean":true,"detectors_run":[],"endpoint":"/pith/2407.05778/integrity.json","findings":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938","summary":{"advisory":0,"by_detector":{},"critical":0,"informational":0}},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"Self-consistency (Wang et al., 2023) suggests that the most consistent answer obtained through large language models (LLMs) is more likely to be correct. In this paper, we challenge this argument and propose a nuanced correction. Our observations indicate that consistent answers derived through more computation i.e. longer reasoning texts, rather than simply the most consistent answer across all outputs, are more likely to be correct. This is predominantly because we demonstrate that LLMs can autonomously produce chain-of-thought (CoT) style reasoning with no custom prompts merely while genera","authors_text":"Alex Nguyen, Chengyu Dong, Dheeraj Mekala, Jingbo Shang","cross_cats":["cs.AI"],"headline":"","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"cs.CL","submitted_at":"2024-07-08T09:37:27Z","title":"When is the consistent prediction likely to be a correct prediction?"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2407.05778","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:ca3eb8b0383d758777f961042ff8b9bdc66d8bdef8adc7eee44dd9d60a663244","target":"record","created_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"c894d85d761b23e51201a46c2d151cf12d232a4bbefb532358ab0ed5fd0b24a5","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.AI"],"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","primary_cat":"cs.CL","submitted_at":"2024-07-08T09:37:27Z","title_canon_sha256":"2e65a56249b15e97ceb0dbebf4a1471cbbb6be017d5e0ffd1e828f4e5b96c1c4"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2407.05778","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"b3e00fbc7b34693e0b31d608a88ae8759e5391e7753bd4beb533819a4f29a200","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"b3e00fbc7b34693e0b31d608a88ae8759e5391e7753bd4beb533819a4f29a200","first_computed_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18.589753Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18.589753Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"dWN9YVee6otytI29F+J7cHrPRbtKeZLKIGQhvLBzaIhq5qamPCP8BtUP1KsUQ0Kst9R7NJm2CAf/9GisqPxoAw==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-07-05T08:41:18.590253Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"2407.05778","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:ca3eb8b0383d758777f961042ff8b9bdc66d8bdef8adc7eee44dd9d60a663244","sha256:190faa0ff86e977ac6da17bb3aea394a771b68c8b0f64d6232a0041eaab46a93"],"state_sha256":"3a490dbc47599e93316a0ddb6a93cb0d73a825e4173617cb9ccf9265b919d074"},"bundle_signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"4gKyFiU8Fl8eCsIAYmwSbcpoJpa5qqaSv5zdLv/N6v0cRtesBlBgkKXg9uXey/+5xC3YBvGJD697yLNWWIlaBA==","signed_message":"bundle_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-04T02:45:42.336878Z","bundle_sha256":"620d37e01c40427db58b796ead522053a41bf0c7580f335743003b5f848a4d5a"}}