{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2026:XMMLY65FVHDVE46IKXS3CUG34P","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"9ebd9e74888cd1dea14d87bd1dbe6f0227b77f3abf491f819f571235120ccdef","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.CE","submitted_at":"2026-08-01T13:42:28Z","title_canon_sha256":"14ad5c848d8c8ba9e6d6b718b3b4500b47a0fdcf3e7f8747853bfdd40298d61c"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2608.00666","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2608.00666","created_at":"2026-08-04T00:39:05Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2608.00666v1","created_at":"2026-08-04T00:39:05Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2608.00666","created_at":"2026-08-04T00:39:05Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"XMMLY65FVHDV","created_at":"2026-08-04T00:39:05Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"XMMLY65FVHDVE46I","created_at":"2026-08-04T00:39:05Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"XMMLY65F","created_at":"2026-08-04T00:39:05Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:b8eec538adf7842cedd44c194713405bced0fb0b76321a2df687475389ed46e7","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-08-04T00:39:05Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"integrity":{"available":true,"clean":true,"detectors_run":[],"endpoint":"/pith/2608.00666/integrity.json","findings":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938","summary":{"advisory":0,"by_detector":{},"critical":0,"informational":0}},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"Deterministic payoff identities imply no-arbitrage bounds in winner-takes-all prediction markets, but violations of these bounds need not be exploitable before settlement. We distinguish payoff-space no-arbitrage, which follows from terminal payoffs, from protocol-executable no-arbitrage, which depends on the position transformations available to traders. Polymarket's negative-risk markets make this distinction observable: linked binary markets represent mutually exclusive outcomes, while the NegRisk Adapter operationalizes only the NO-to-YES direction before settlement. We reconstruct depth-a","authors_text":"Florian Matthes, Jonas Gebele, Timm Mutzel","cross_cats":[],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.CE","submitted_at":"2026-08-01T13:42:28Z","title":"Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2608.00666","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:d4bf309d933a02f4585356ed5cc455cded37d9b7aff75f3aad238804779f60e7","target":"record","created_at":"2026-08-04T00:39:05Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"9ebd9e74888cd1dea14d87bd1dbe6f0227b77f3abf491f819f571235120ccdef","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.CE","submitted_at":"2026-08-01T13:42:28Z","title_canon_sha256":"14ad5c848d8c8ba9e6d6b718b3b4500b47a0fdcf3e7f8747853bfdd40298d61c"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2608.00666","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"bb18bc7ba5a9c75273c855e5b150dbe3fc23bbd5a42ac1ce770cdd332e6c5a93","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"bb18bc7ba5a9c75273c855e5b150dbe3fc23bbd5a42ac1ce770cdd332e6c5a93","first_computed_at":"2026-08-04T00:39:05.324189Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-08-04T00:39:05.324189Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"LZUmRsF5tm1udQzzsJc6Q2e/GafCiDKqDmoYEtXUMuYXjPaxbTS08MlYx0Ln8VcR1ONyY91na6ZOtSr+7ZteCw==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-08-04T00:39:05.325559Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"2608.00666","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:d4bf309d933a02f4585356ed5cc455cded37d9b7aff75f3aad238804779f60e7","sha256:b8eec538adf7842cedd44c194713405bced0fb0b76321a2df687475389ed46e7"],"state_sha256":"9c72dc92d15f45b32ebc5a457632488df6363519d1f0f6715ce6a41ec7c82a27"}