{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2012:Y6SWJSMMP2NVDLGCKN7VQQXOOF","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"79b5c60a0110d0eeb8bfe235c8b1b53188180e346cba0746314cc747d7877f0e","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.SY","stat.ML"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.LG","submitted_at":"2012-06-26T23:39:00Z","title_canon_sha256":"c73528222ad4aac6000015e164e4a776f3a03c3bbb0e46896c0594572de19451"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1206.6141","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"1206.6141","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:52:14Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"1206.6141v1","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:52:14Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.1206.6141","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:52:14Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"Y6SWJSMMP2NV","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:27Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"Y6SWJSMMP2NVDLGC","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:27Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"Y6SWJSMM","created_at":"2026-05-18T12:27:27Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:5273bf85bef7a30d2ab075232acbdb3ebaadff308ee4fcc2d8f0a8183a089151","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:52:14Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"We propose directed time series regression, a new approach to estimating parameters of time-series models for use in certainty equivalent model predictive control. The approach combines merits of least squares regression and empirical optimization. Through a computational study involving a stochastic version of a well known inverted pendulum balancing problem, we demonstrate that directed time series regression can generate significant improvements in controller performance over either of the aforementioned alternatives.","authors_text":"Benjamin Van Roy, Yi-Hao Kao","cross_cats":["cs.SY","stat.ML"],"headline":"","license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.LG","submitted_at":"2012-06-26T23:39:00Z","title":"Directed Time Series Regression for Control"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"1206.6141","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:e4cc1b1e11ba1682ccc4b57451ddfddcfab5157237fe5dd07b40b2e9b50f722a","target":"record","created_at":"2026-05-18T03:52:14Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"79b5c60a0110d0eeb8bfe235c8b1b53188180e346cba0746314cc747d7877f0e","cross_cats_sorted":["cs.SY","stat.ML"],"license":"http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/","primary_cat":"cs.LG","submitted_at":"2012-06-26T23:39:00Z","title_canon_sha256":"c73528222ad4aac6000015e164e4a776f3a03c3bbb0e46896c0594572de19451"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"1206.6141","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"c7a564c98c7e9b51acc2537f5842ee7178d68a6cbb54255de488726893c48b50","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"c7a564c98c7e9b51acc2537f5842ee7178d68a6cbb54255de488726893c48b50","first_computed_at":"2026-05-18T03:52:14.595889Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-05-18T03:52:14.595889Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"AxGnJUdbiMYIOq3OH0+2MIHReyT9KDrsFbhAkgwTAGHpnD1AOnwuMYe1jNg5Pzo8xJBaUwdFegg1bQ18qsArAQ==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-05-18T03:52:14.596717Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"1206.6141","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:e4cc1b1e11ba1682ccc4b57451ddfddcfab5157237fe5dd07b40b2e9b50f722a","sha256:5273bf85bef7a30d2ab075232acbdb3ebaadff308ee4fcc2d8f0a8183a089151"],"state_sha256":"4e7ba0c84df42b02dd9e1b9587c1146c9490e9cd8dbbbc70c9f3df1c672c8cef"}