{"bundle_type":"pith_open_graph_bundle","bundle_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2025:ZUZYQTL5TGER2QTL5Q5GZUWOTW","short_pith_number":"pith:ZUZYQTL5","canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2506.02349","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2025-06-03T01:09:35Z","cross_cats_sorted":[],"title_canon_sha256":"1869d871725f9a6451c7a760a4e90bd8578c0607343de81bdbe3d5a8870d323e","abstract_canon_sha256":"97b960e372cc01153f3c09135c5dc3b3165c76cae0bdd59da40ff7da2205ff15"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"cd33884d7d99891d426bec3a6cd2ce9d8dabdb2a9a538cbd3ff503deb8999aad","source":{"kind":"arxiv","id":"2506.02349","version":1},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2506.02349","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2506.02349v1","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2506.02349","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"ZUZYQTL5TGER","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"ZUZYQTL5TGER2QTL","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"ZUZYQTL5","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29Z"}],"events":[{"event_type":"record_created","subject_pith_number":"pith:2025:ZUZYQTL5TGER2QTL5Q5GZUWOTW","target":"record","payload":{"canonical_record":{"source":{"id":"2506.02349","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"metadata":{"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2025-06-03T01:09:35Z","cross_cats_sorted":[],"title_canon_sha256":"1869d871725f9a6451c7a760a4e90bd8578c0607343de81bdbe3d5a8870d323e","abstract_canon_sha256":"97b960e372cc01153f3c09135c5dc3b3165c76cae0bdd59da40ff7da2205ff15"},"schema_version":"1.0"},"canonical_sha256":"cd33884d7d99891d426bec3a6cd2ce9d8dabdb2a9a538cbd3ff503deb8999aad","receipt":{"kind":"pith_receipt","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","signed_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29.938111Z","signature_b64":"NRLI1xXlPaFIeuEKFY1S1J/W1/uH1eQA/XPpC8XnBfFq9+BvQz78G2v7JraNeKSeNevkvGvYi5DGoH5aEm5RDA==","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","receipt_version":"0.3","canonical_sha256":"cd33884d7d99891d426bec3a6cd2ce9d8dabdb2a9a538cbd3ff503deb8999aad","last_reissued_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29.937641Z","signature_status":"signed_v1","first_computed_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29.937641Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"source_kind":"arxiv","source_id":"2506.02349","source_version":1,"attestation_state":"computed"},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"6+bHnQQkyZkVi1T2grlhCWnnotM7DUbJRxGwRHOJmRbHgxIrPm9jmo5tJSbIvsUoKwoARD1OTsMN22DXK/9jDg==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-12T04:02:35.943216Z"},"content_sha256":"cb0cbf1ca859ee0f978e29e4033538ff9c78a09a8dee3238ded7ddf38be6e8ab","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:cb0cbf1ca859ee0f978e29e4033538ff9c78a09a8dee3238ded7ddf38be6e8ab"},{"event_type":"graph_snapshot","subject_pith_number":"pith:2025:ZUZYQTL5TGER2QTL5Q5GZUWOTW","target":"graph","payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"paper":{"title":"Forecasting Extreme High Summer Temperatures in Paris and Cairo Using Gradient Boosting and Conformal Prediction Regions","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/","headline":"","cross_cats":[],"primary_cat":"stat.AP","authors_text":"Richard A. Berk","submitted_at":"2025-06-03T01:09:35Z","abstract_excerpt":"In this paper, gradient boosting is used to forecast the Q(.95) values of air temperature and the Steadman Heat Index. Paris, France during late the spring and summer months is the major focus. Predictors and responses are drawn from the Paris-Montsouris weather station for the years 2018 through 2024. Q(.95) values are used because of interest in summer heat that is statistically rare and extreme. The data are curated as a multiple time series for each year. Predictors include seven routinely collected indicators of weather conditions. They each are lagged by 14 days such that temperature and"},"claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2506.02349","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"id":null,"model_set":{},"created_at":null,"strongest_claim":"","one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"weakest_assumption":"","pith_extraction_headline":""},"integrity":{"clean":true,"summary":{"advisory":0,"critical":0,"by_detector":{},"informational":0},"endpoint":"/pith/2506.02349/integrity.json","findings":[],"available":true,"detectors_run":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938"},"references":{"count":0,"sample":[],"resolved_work":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","internal_anchors":0},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"author_claims":{"count":0,"strong_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1"},"verdict_id":null},"signer":{"signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54"},"created_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29Z","supersedes":[],"prev_event":null,"signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"0BsaC+lOp4zeyPk1SNSGvQjI6lN7E8MkaYNh+mfaMBIH992Vpj4mLzF76pmEqmkg09dUUFpjoH95CAOh2JDkCQ==","signed_message":"open_graph_event_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-12T04:02:35.944140Z"},"content_sha256":"f50d1b29967291b52592799a0621cbba4f3f539ceec98ddc7c5431b4cd36f6f3","schema_version":"1.0","event_id":"sha256:f50d1b29967291b52592799a0621cbba4f3f539ceec98ddc7c5431b4cd36f6f3"}],"timestamp_proofs":[],"mirror_hints":[{"mirror_type":"https","name":"Pith Resolver","base_url":"https://pith.science","bundle_url":"https://pith.science/pith/ZUZYQTL5TGER2QTL5Q5GZUWOTW/bundle.json","state_url":"https://pith.science/pith/ZUZYQTL5TGER2QTL5Q5GZUWOTW/state.json","well_known_bundle_url":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/ZUZYQTL5TGER2QTL5Q5GZUWOTW/bundle.json","status":"primary"}],"public_keys":[{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","algorithm":"ed25519","format":"raw","public_key_b64":"stVStoiQhXFxp4s2pdzPNoqVNBMojDU/fJ2db5S3CbM=","public_key_hex":"b2d552b68890857171a78b36a5dccf368a953413288c353f7c9d9d6f94b709b3","fingerprint_sha256_b32_first128bits":"RVFV5Z2OI2J3ZUO7ERDEBCYNKS","fingerprint_sha256_hex":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","rotates_at":null,"url":"https://pith.science/pith-signing-key.json","notes":"Pith uses this Ed25519 key to sign canonical record SHA-256 digests. Verify with: ed25519_verify(public_key, message=canonical_sha256_bytes, signature=base64decode(signature_b64))."}],"merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","built_at":"2026-08-12T04:02:35Z","links":{"resolver":"https://pith.science/pith/ZUZYQTL5TGER2QTL5Q5GZUWOTW","bundle":"https://pith.science/pith/ZUZYQTL5TGER2QTL5Q5GZUWOTW/bundle.json","state":"https://pith.science/pith/ZUZYQTL5TGER2QTL5Q5GZUWOTW/state.json","well_known_bundle":"https://pith.science/.well-known/pith/ZUZYQTL5TGER2QTL5Q5GZUWOTW/bundle.json"},"state":{"state_type":"pith_open_graph_state","state_version":"1.0","pith_number":"pith:2025:ZUZYQTL5TGER2QTL5Q5GZUWOTW","merge_version":"pith-open-graph-merge-v1","event_count":2,"valid_event_count":2,"invalid_event_count":0,"equivocation_count":0,"current":{"canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"97b960e372cc01153f3c09135c5dc3b3165c76cae0bdd59da40ff7da2205ff15","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2025-06-03T01:09:35Z","title_canon_sha256":"1869d871725f9a6451c7a760a4e90bd8578c0607343de81bdbe3d5a8870d323e"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2506.02349","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"source_aliases":[{"alias_kind":"arxiv","alias_value":"2506.02349","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29Z"},{"alias_kind":"arxiv_version","alias_value":"2506.02349v1","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29Z"},{"alias_kind":"doi","alias_value":"10.48550/arxiv.2506.02349","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_12","alias_value":"ZUZYQTL5TGER","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_16","alias_value":"ZUZYQTL5TGER2QTL","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29Z"},{"alias_kind":"pith_short_8","alias_value":"ZUZYQTL5","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29Z"}],"graph_snapshots":[{"event_id":"sha256:f50d1b29967291b52592799a0621cbba4f3f539ceec98ddc7c5431b4cd36f6f3","target":"graph","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"graph_snapshot":{"author_claims":{"count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57","strong_count":0},"builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","claims":{"count":0,"items":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"formal_canon":{"evidence_count":0,"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"integrity":{"available":true,"clean":true,"detectors_run":[],"endpoint":"/pith/2506.02349/integrity.json","findings":[],"snapshot_sha256":"c28c3603d3b5d939e8dc4c7e95fa8dfce3d595e45f758748cecf8e644a296938","summary":{"advisory":0,"by_detector":{},"critical":0,"informational":0}},"paper":{"abstract_excerpt":"In this paper, gradient boosting is used to forecast the Q(.95) values of air temperature and the Steadman Heat Index. Paris, France during late the spring and summer months is the major focus. Predictors and responses are drawn from the Paris-Montsouris weather station for the years 2018 through 2024. Q(.95) values are used because of interest in summer heat that is statistically rare and extreme. The data are curated as a multiple time series for each year. Predictors include seven routinely collected indicators of weather conditions. They each are lagged by 14 days such that temperature and","authors_text":"Richard A. Berk","cross_cats":[],"headline":"","license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2025-06-03T01:09:35Z","title":"Forecasting Extreme High Summer Temperatures in Paris and Cairo Using Gradient Boosting and Conformal Prediction Regions"},"references":{"count":0,"internal_anchors":0,"resolved_work":0,"sample":[],"snapshot_sha256":"258153158e38e3291e3d48162225fcdb2d5a3ed65a07baac614ab91432fd4f57"},"source":{"id":"2506.02349","kind":"arxiv","version":1},"verdict":{"created_at":null,"id":null,"model_set":{},"one_line_summary":"","pipeline_version":null,"pith_extraction_headline":"","strongest_claim":"","weakest_assumption":""}},"verdict_id":null}}],"author_attestations":[],"timestamp_anchors":[],"storage_attestations":[],"citation_signatures":[],"replication_records":[],"corrections":[],"mirror_hints":[],"record_created":{"event_id":"sha256:cb0cbf1ca859ee0f978e29e4033538ff9c78a09a8dee3238ded7ddf38be6e8ab","target":"record","created_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29Z","signer":{"key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signer_id":"pith.science","signer_type":"pith_registry"},"payload":{"attestation_state":"computed","canonical_record":{"metadata":{"abstract_canon_sha256":"97b960e372cc01153f3c09135c5dc3b3165c76cae0bdd59da40ff7da2205ff15","cross_cats_sorted":[],"license":"http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/","primary_cat":"stat.AP","submitted_at":"2025-06-03T01:09:35Z","title_canon_sha256":"1869d871725f9a6451c7a760a4e90bd8578c0607343de81bdbe3d5a8870d323e"},"schema_version":"1.0","source":{"id":"2506.02349","kind":"arxiv","version":1}},"canonical_sha256":"cd33884d7d99891d426bec3a6cd2ce9d8dabdb2a9a538cbd3ff503deb8999aad","receipt":{"algorithm":"ed25519","builder_version":"pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1","canonical_sha256":"cd33884d7d99891d426bec3a6cd2ce9d8dabdb2a9a538cbd3ff503deb8999aad","first_computed_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29.937641Z","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","kind":"pith_receipt","last_reissued_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29.937641Z","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","receipt_version":"0.3","signature_b64":"NRLI1xXlPaFIeuEKFY1S1J/W1/uH1eQA/XPpC8XnBfFq9+BvQz78G2v7JraNeKSeNevkvGvYi5DGoH5aEm5RDA==","signature_status":"signed_v1","signed_at":"2026-07-05T11:42:29.938111Z","signed_message":"canonical_sha256_bytes"},"source_id":"2506.02349","source_kind":"arxiv","source_version":1}}},"equivocations":[],"invalid_events":[],"applied_event_ids":["sha256:cb0cbf1ca859ee0f978e29e4033538ff9c78a09a8dee3238ded7ddf38be6e8ab","sha256:f50d1b29967291b52592799a0621cbba4f3f539ceec98ddc7c5431b4cd36f6f3"],"state_sha256":"0a8151df0b3fc0b71e21425dc4ba035abad56f84e715467e45efa35cbbd30c94"},"bundle_signature":{"signature_status":"signed_v1","algorithm":"ed25519","key_id":"pith-v1-2026-05","public_key_fingerprint":"8d4b5ee74e4693bcd1df2446408b0d54","signature_b64":"OO8HHrpMQYNpQhK570ZSp2oFWu/0scG48r8kH2TAw0mGUrdi+bOs6K5fjr7CDeZn1t6uPIKBFB/d3ZrS4wMLDw==","signed_message":"bundle_sha256_bytes","signed_at":"2026-08-12T04:02:35.950149Z","bundle_sha256":"b6c5547db935a2a417808e037b22378758a511d70e635a836b103c72ae0e9b6f"}}