Extends established CIB analysis by defining four run types that emphasize one-off shocks, extremes under alternative regimes, widening influence-structure uncertainty, and exogenous shocks as a baseline for decarbonisation pathways.
FUTURES & FORESIGHT SCI- ENCE 4, e2103
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From transient shocks to unexpected outcomes: disruptive drivers in scenario pathways
Extends established CIB analysis by defining four run types that emphasize one-off shocks, extremes under alternative regimes, widening influence-structure uncertainty, and exogenous shocks as a baseline for decarbonisation pathways.