Under the U.S. National Response Plan, a simulated ASF outbreak leaves a median of 153,020 pigs unplaced in the first year; shorter control zones reduce that number by up to 33.5% while wider zones reduce depopulation but raise unplacement by up to 282%.
These results emphasize the need for region-specific policies that balance depopulation and unplacement costs
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Modeling the impact of control zone restrictions on pig placement in simulated African swine fever in the United States
Under the U.S. National Response Plan, a simulated ASF outbreak leaves a median of 153,020 pigs unplaced in the first year; shorter control zones reduce that number by up to 33.5% while wider zones reduce depopulation but raise unplacement by up to 282%.