CAST is a successor-local operator for causal forecasting of simplex-valued time series that retrieves empirical successors from causal context, stabilizes them with a persistence anchor, and applies bounded local stochastic transport while preserving the simplex by construction.
Recurrent marked temporal point processes: Embedding event history to vector
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CAST: Causal Anchored Simplex Transport for Distribution-Valued Time Series
CAST is a successor-local operator for causal forecasting of simplex-valued time series that retrieves empirical successors from causal context, stabilizes them with a persistence anchor, and applies bounded local stochastic transport while preserving the simplex by construction.