A model of trade isolation in natural gas, nitrogen-phosphorus-potassium fertilizers, and eleven staple crops estimates up to 22% loss in global caloric supply, with rising vulnerabilities especially in the EU since the 1990s.
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Cascading disruptions in natural gas, fertilizers, and crops drive structural food supply vulnerabilities globally
A model of trade isolation in natural gas, nitrogen-phosphorus-potassium fertilizers, and eleven staple crops estimates up to 22% loss in global caloric supply, with rising vulnerabilities especially in the EU since the 1990s.