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Scalable Policy Maximization Under Network Interference

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abstract

Many interventions, such as vaccines in clinical trials or coupons in online marketplaces, must be assigned sequentially without full knowledge of their effects. Multi-armed bandit algorithms have proven successful in such settings. However, standard independence assumptions fail when the treatment status of one individual impacts the outcomes of others, a phenomenon known as interference. We study optimal-policy learning under interference on a dynamic network. Existing approaches to this problem require repeated observations of the same fixed network and struggle to scale in sample size beyond as few as fifteen connected units -- both limit applications. We show that under common assumptions on the structure of interference, rewards become linear. This enables us to develop a scalable Thompson sampling algorithm that maximizes policy impact when a new $n$-node network is observed each round. We prove a Bayesian regret bound that is sublinear in $n$ and the number of rounds. Simulation experiments show that our algorithm learns quickly and outperforms existing methods. The results close a key scalability gap between causal inference methods for interference and practical bandit algorithms, enabling policy optimization in large-scale networked systems.

fields

stat.ML 1

years

2026 1

verdicts

UNVERDICTED 1

representative citing papers

Dynamic Treatment on Networks

stat.ML · 2026-05-07 · unverdicted · novelty 7.0

Q-Ising integrates Bayesian dynamic Ising modeling with offline RL to enable adaptive network treatment policies that outperform static centrality benchmarks under spillovers.

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  • Dynamic Treatment on Networks stat.ML · 2026-05-07 · unverdicted · none · ref 49 · internal anchor

    Q-Ising integrates Bayesian dynamic Ising modeling with offline RL to enable adaptive network treatment policies that outperform static centrality benchmarks under spillovers.