A flexible nonparametric supply model estimated with the Variational Method of Moments predicts post-merger prices more accurately than standard merger simulation in both simulations and the American Airlines-US Airways merger.
Max H Farrell, Tengyuan Liang, and Sanjog Misra
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Enhancing the Merger Simulation Toolkit with ML/AI
A flexible nonparametric supply model estimated with the Variational Method of Moments predicts post-merger prices more accurately than standard merger simulation in both simulations and the American Airlines-US Airways merger.