A new framework integrates data assimilation and information-theoretic diagnostics to identify latent precursors, pathways, and mechanisms of extreme events in partially observed stochastic dynamical systems.
The defining characteristics of ENSO extremes and the strong 2015/2016 El Ni˜ no.Reviews of Geophysics, 55(4):1079–1129
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Mechanisms and Pathways of Extreme Events in Partially-Observed Stochastic Dynamical Systems
A new framework integrates data assimilation and information-theoretic diagnostics to identify latent precursors, pathways, and mechanisms of extreme events in partially observed stochastic dynamical systems.