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Learning Deep Time-index Models for Time Series Forecasting

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abstract

Deep learning has been actively applied to time series forecasting, leading to a deluge of new methods, belonging to the class of historical-value models. Yet, despite the attractive properties of time-index models, such as being able to model the continuous nature of underlying time series dynamics, little attention has been given to them. Indeed, while naive deep time-index models are far more expressive than the manually predefined function representations of classical time-index models, they are inadequate for forecasting, being unable to generalize to unseen time steps due to the lack of inductive bias. In this paper, we propose DeepTime, a meta-optimization framework to learn deep time-index models which overcome these limitations, yielding an efficient and accurate forecasting model. Extensive experiments on real world datasets in the long sequence time-series forecasting setting demonstrate that our approach achieves competitive results with state-of-the-art methods, and is highly efficient. Code is available at https://github.com/salesforce/DeepTime.

fields

cs.LG 1

years

2025 1

verdicts

CONDITIONAL 1

representative citing papers

Neural Functions for Learning Periodic Signal

cs.LG · 2025-06-11 · conditional · novelty 6.0

NeRT factorizes periodic signals into a sine-based periodic factor and an unbounded scale factor, enabling extrapolation beyond the training range on several periodic benchmarks.

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  • Neural Functions for Learning Periodic Signal cs.LG · 2025-06-11 · conditional · none · ref 16 · internal anchor

    NeRT factorizes periodic signals into a sine-based periodic factor and an unbounded scale factor, enabling extrapolation beyond the training range on several periodic benchmarks.