Observational data-driven MHD simulations reproduced an X1.6 flare's onset and showed that photospheric velocity input extends prediction lead time beyond one hour.
Three-dimensional simulation of the fast solar wind driven by compressible magnetohydrodynamic turbulence
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abstract
Using a three-dimensional compressible magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulation, we have reproduced the fast solar wind in a direct and self-consistent manner, based on the wave/turbulence driven scenario. As a natural consequence of Alfvenic perturbations at its base, highly compressional and turbulent fluctuations are generated, leading to heating and acceleration of the solar wind. The analysis of power spectra and structure functions reveals that the turbulence is characterized by its imbalanced (in the sense of outward Alfvenic fluctuations) and anisotropic nature. The density fluctuation originates from the parametric decay instability of outwardly propagating Alfven waves and plays a significant role in the Alfven wave reflection that triggers turbulence. Our conclusion is that the fast solar wind is heated and accelerated by compressible MHD turbulence driven by parametric decay instability and resultant Alfven wave reflection.
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Predictability of a solar flare in May 2024 using observational data-driven MHD simulations
Observational data-driven MHD simulations reproduced an X1.6 flare's onset and showed that photospheric velocity input extends prediction lead time beyond one hour.