Three detection methods for informed trading in prediction markets—composite screens, sign-randomization tests, and the new Information Leakage Score—operate as stacked layers that together increase precision.
Soldier Charged With Using Classified Information To Profit From Prediction Market Bets , howpublished =
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Per-Market Information Leakage and Order-Flow Skill: Two Methodological Lenses on Informed Trading in Decentralized Prediction Markets
Three detection methods for informed trading in prediction markets—composite screens, sign-randomization tests, and the new Information Leakage Score—operate as stacked layers that together increase precision.