For the 1-meter asteroid 2024 XA1, the authors compute a precise impact trajectory and use an ab initio fall model to predict overlapping possible strewn fields about 37 km northeast of Kiliyer, Russia.
The Near-Earth Object Surveyor Mission
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abstract
The Near-Earth Object (NEO) Surveyor mission is a NASA observatory designed to discover and characterize near-Earth asteroids and comets. The mission's primary objective is to find the majority of objects large enough to cause severe regional impact damage ($>$140 m in effective spherical diameter) within its five-year baseline survey. Operating at the Sun-Earth L1 Lagrange point, the mission will survey to within 45 degrees of the Sun in an effort to find the objects in the most Earth-like orbits. The survey cadence is optimized to provide observational arcs long enough to reliably distinguish near-Earth objects from more distant small bodies that cannot pose an impact hazard. Over the course of its survey, NEO Surveyor will discover $\sim$200,000 - 300,000 new NEOs down to sizes as small as $\sim$10 m and thousands of comets, significantly improving our understanding of the probability of an Earth impact over the next century.
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The fall of asteroid 2024 XA$_1$ and the location of possible meteorites
For the 1-meter asteroid 2024 XA1, the authors compute a precise impact trajectory and use an ab initio fall model to predict overlapping possible strewn fields about 37 km northeast of Kiliyer, Russia.