Action-outcome probabilities for rational choice can be grounded in causal models both when the causal structure is known and when it is unknown, with an extension to causal Nash Equilibrium.
A theory of conditionals
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Choosing with unknown causal information: Action-outcome probabilities for decision making can be grounded in causal models
Action-outcome probabilities for rational choice can be grounded in causal models both when the causal structure is known and when it is unknown, with an extension to causal Nash Equilibrium.