Introduces NCP-ExploreToM framework to evaluate LLMs on inducing belief states via planning and action, with GPT-5 succeeding on ~80% of tasks and outperforming humans.
Evaluating Frontier Models for Stealth and Situational Awareness
8 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
abstract
Recent work has demonstrated the plausibility of frontier AI models scheming -- knowingly and covertly pursuing an objective misaligned with its developer's intentions. Such behavior could be very hard to detect, and if present in future advanced systems, could pose severe loss of control risk. It is therefore important for AI developers to rule out harm from scheming prior to model deployment. In this paper, we present a suite of scheming reasoning evaluations measuring two types of reasoning capabilities that we believe are prerequisites for successful scheming: First, we propose five evaluations of ability to reason about and circumvent oversight (stealth). Second, we present eleven evaluations for measuring a model's ability to instrumentally reason about itself, its environment and its deployment (situational awareness). We demonstrate how these evaluations can be used as part of a scheming inability safety case: a model that does not succeed on these evaluations is almost certainly incapable of causing severe harm via scheming in real deployment. We run our evaluations on current frontier models and find that none of them show concerning levels of either situational awareness or stealth.
representative citing papers
Boiling the Frog is a new stateful multi-turn benchmark that finds an aggregate 44.4% strict attack success rate for incremental safety violations across nine AI models, with rates ranging from 20.5% to 92.9%.
Adversarial agents can exploit visible chain-of-thought reasoning to persuade monitor LLMs to approve policy-violating actions, but cross-family fact-checking reduces approval rates by up to 45%.
Develops the BSD data generation pipeline and two new datasets to evaluate decomposition attacks as effective misuse enablers and stateful defenses as a countermeasure in language model safety.
The paper develops symmetric instrumental interventions on consequence-tracking versus expectation-tracking processes and finds that several LLMs show greater sensitivity to expectation-tracking interventions in alignment-faking tasks.
A harmonized risk reporting standard for internal frontier AI model use, structured around autonomous misbehavior and insider threats using means, motive, and opportunity factors.
Gemini 2.5 Pro and Flash models are presented as achieving frontier performance in reasoning, coding, and long-context multimodal tasks while spanning a cost-capability Pareto curve.
Position paper calling for stronger evidentiary standards and a diagnostic checklist in anthropomorphic misalignment research.
citing papers explorer
-
Theory of Mind and Persuasion Beyond Conversation: Assessing the Capacity of LLMs to Induce Belief States via Planning and Action
Introduces NCP-ExploreToM framework to evaluate LLMs on inducing belief states via planning and action, with GPT-5 succeeding on ~80% of tasks and outperforming humans.
-
Boiling the Frog: A Multi-Turn Benchmark for Agentic Safety
Boiling the Frog is a new stateful multi-turn benchmark that finds an aggregate 44.4% strict attack success rate for incremental safety violations across nine AI models, with rates ranging from 20.5% to 92.9%.
-
Persuasion Attacks Can Decrease Effectiveness of CoT Monitoring
Adversarial agents can exploit visible chain-of-thought reasoning to persuade monitor LLMs to approve policy-violating actions, but cross-family fact-checking reduces approval rates by up to 45%.
-
Benchmarking Misuse Mitigation Against Covert Adversaries
Develops the BSD data generation pipeline and two new datasets to evaluate decomposition attacks as effective misuse enablers and stateful defenses as a countermeasure in language model safety.
-
Building Comparative Motivation Profiles with Instrumental Interventions
The paper develops symmetric instrumental interventions on consequence-tracking versus expectation-tracking processes and finds that several LLMs show greater sensitivity to expectation-tracking interventions in alignment-faking tasks.
-
Risk Reporting for Developers' Internal AI Model Use
A harmonized risk reporting standard for internal frontier AI model use, structured around autonomous misbehavior and insider threats using means, motive, and opportunity factors.
-
Gemini 2.5: Pushing the Frontier with Advanced Reasoning, Multimodality, Long Context, and Next Generation Agentic Capabilities
Gemini 2.5 Pro and Flash models are presented as achieving frontier performance in reasoning, coding, and long-context multimodal tasks while spanning a cost-capability Pareto curve.
-
Position: Anthropomorphic Misalignment Research Needs Stronger Evidence
Position paper calling for stronger evidentiary standards and a diagnostic checklist in anthropomorphic misalignment research.