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Robust Yet Efficient Conformal Prediction Sets

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abstract

Conformal prediction (CP) can convert any model's output into prediction sets guaranteed to include the true label with any user-specified probability. However, same as the model itself, CP is vulnerable to adversarial test examples (evasion) and perturbed calibration data (poisoning). We derive provably robust sets by bounding the worst-case change in conformity scores. Our tighter bounds lead to more efficient sets. We cover both continuous and discrete (sparse) data and our guarantees work both for evasion and poisoning attacks (on both features and labels).

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representative citing papers

Membership Inference Attacks with False Discovery Rate Control

stat.ML · 2025-08-09 · conditional · novelty 4.0

A post-hoc wrapper, MIAFdR, converts any membership inference attack scores into conformal p-values and applies a Benjamini-Hochberg correction, guaranteeing that the expected proportion of non-members among flagged members is at most the significance level.

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  • Membership Inference Attacks with False Discovery Rate Control stat.ML · 2025-08-09 · conditional · none · ref 77 · internal anchor

    A post-hoc wrapper, MIAFdR, converts any membership inference attack scores into conformal p-values and applies a Benjamini-Hochberg correction, guaranteeing that the expected proportion of non-members among flagged members is at most the significance level.