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Spatio-temporal probabilistic forecast using MMAF-guided learning

stat.ML · 2026-03-16 · unverdicted · novelty 7.0

MMAF-guided learning constrains neural network training with Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process structure to generate calibrated spatio-temporal ensemble forecasts, where shallow feed-forward networks perform comparably to or better than convolutional or diffusion models.

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  • Spatio-temporal probabilistic forecast using MMAF-guided learning stat.ML · 2026-03-16 · unverdicted · none · ref 22

    MMAF-guided learning constrains neural network training with Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process structure to generate calibrated spatio-temporal ensemble forecasts, where shallow feed-forward networks perform comparably to or better than convolutional or diffusion models.