A Mechanistic Seasonal Dengue Transmission model calibrated on recent Ahmedabad data reveals spatial hotspots, forecasts continued endemic circulation through 2028, and shows that sustained residual spraying can reduce incidence by over 80 percent while periodic fogging has cumulative effects.
Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts: A case study of Ebola in the Western Area region of Sierra Leone, 2014-15
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M-SDT: A modelling framework for dengue transmission, forecasting, and intervention strategies in Ahmedabad Municipal Corporation
A Mechanistic Seasonal Dengue Transmission model calibrated on recent Ahmedabad data reveals spatial hotspots, forecasts continued endemic circulation through 2028, and shows that sustained residual spraying can reduce incidence by over 80 percent while periodic fogging has cumulative effects.