PolyStan wraps PolyChord nested sampling for Stan models, enabling evidence computation and multimodal posterior sampling through a cmdstan-style interface.
Nested sampling cross-checks using order statistics
1 Pith paper cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
abstract
Nested sampling (NS) is an invaluable tool in data analysis in modern astrophysics, cosmology, gravitational wave astronomy and particle physics. We identify a previously unused property of NS related to order statistics: the insertion indexes of new live points into the existing live points should be uniformly distributed. This observation enabled us to create a novel cross-check of single NS runs. The tests can detect when an NS run failed to sample new live points from the constrained prior and plateaus in the likelihood function, which break an assumption of NS and thus leads to unreliable results. We applied our cross-check to NS runs on toy functions with known analytic results in 2 - 50 dimensions, showing that our approach can detect problematic runs on a variety of likelihoods, settings and dimensions. As an example of a realistic application, we cross-checked NS runs performed in the context of cosmological model selection. Since the cross-check is simple, we recommend that it become a mandatory test for every applicable NS run.
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stat.CO 1years
2025 1verdicts
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PolyStan: PolyChord nested sampling and Bayesian evidences for Stan models
PolyStan wraps PolyChord nested sampling for Stan models, enabling evidence computation and multimodal posterior sampling through a cmdstan-style interface.