CAST is a successor-local operator for causal forecasting of simplex-valued time series that retrieves empirical successors from causal context, stabilizes them with a persistence anchor, and applies bounded local stochastic transport while preserving the simplex by construction.
Queueing, predictions, and large language models: Challenges and open problems.Stochastic Systems, 15(3):195–219, 2025
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CAST: Causal Anchored Simplex Transport for Distribution-Valued Time Series
CAST is a successor-local operator for causal forecasting of simplex-valued time series that retrieves empirical successors from causal context, stabilizes them with a persistence anchor, and applies bounded local stochastic transport while preserving the simplex by construction.