The paper formalizes superexponential AI growth as a positive third derivative (a 'jolt') and claims a simulation-based detector can identify such jolts, though no empirical benchmark validation is provided.
Journal of Consciousness Studies 17(9-10), 7–65 (2010)
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Jolting Technologies: Superexponential Acceleration in AI Capabilities and Implications for AGI
The paper formalizes superexponential AI growth as a positive third derivative (a 'jolt') and claims a simulation-based detector can identify such jolts, though no empirical benchmark validation is provided.