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Bayesian change-plane regression

stat.ME · 2026-04-26 · unverdicted · novelty 7.0

A Bayesian change-plane regression method uses a misspecified probit-gated surrogate likelihood to enable regular posterior inference for linear-threshold subpopulation boundaries, recovering the hard-threshold target in the vanishing-smoothing limit under a covariate boundary-margin condition.

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  • Bayesian change-plane regression stat.ME · 2026-04-26 · unverdicted · none · ref 6

    A Bayesian change-plane regression method uses a misspecified probit-gated surrogate likelihood to enable regular posterior inference for linear-threshold subpopulation boundaries, recovering the hard-threshold target in the vanishing-smoothing limit under a covariate boundary-margin condition.