Cyc-Attack uses a differentiable surrogate for TC detection, a skewness-aware loss, and gradient weighting to perturb DLWF inputs and steer downstream TC trajectory predictions toward specified targets with higher success and lower detectability than prior attacks.
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Adversarial Attacks on Downstream Weather Forecasting Models: Application to Tropical Cyclone Trajectory Prediction
Cyc-Attack uses a differentiable surrogate for TC detection, a skewness-aware loss, and gradient weighting to perturb DLWF inputs and steer downstream TC trajectory predictions toward specified targets with higher success and lower detectability than prior attacks.