A Dirichlet-Gamma bootstrap for macro-level claims reserving satisfies the conditioning principle exactly, delivering O(I^{-1/2}) coverage error and inheriting calibration from any development-proportion method.
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stat.ME 2years
2026 2verdicts
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A negative binomial chain-ladder model is obtained from a Poisson-Gamma mixture that supplies a generative interpretation for the dispersion parameter and unifies the chain-ladder family under one likelihood.
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