A recursive cubing framework identifies stable hyperparameter regions for MC dropout uncertainty quantification in spatial deep learning and produces competitive or superior predictive intervals versus a statistical baseline on simulations and land-surface temperature data.
Gradient Estimators for Implicit Models
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abstract
Implicit models, which allow for the generation of samples but not for point-wise evaluation of probabilities, are omnipresent in real-world problems tackled by machine learning and a hot topic of current research. Some examples include data simulators that are widely used in engineering and scientific research, generative adversarial networks (GANs) for image synthesis, and hot-off-the-press approximate inference techniques relying on implicit distributions. The majority of existing approaches to learning implicit models rely on approximating the intractable distribution or optimisation objective for gradient-based optimisation, which is liable to produce inaccurate updates and thus poor models. This paper alleviates the need for such approximations by proposing the Stein gradient estimator, which directly estimates the score function of the implicitly defined distribution. The efficacy of the proposed estimator is empirically demonstrated by examples that include meta-learning for approximate inference, and entropy regularised GANs that provide improved sample diversity.
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stat.CO 1years
2026 1verdicts
UNVERDICTED 1representative citing papers
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A Cubing Strategy for Identifying Stable Hyperparameter Regions for Uncertainty Quantification in Spatial Deep Learning
A recursive cubing framework identifies stable hyperparameter regions for MC dropout uncertainty quantification in spatial deep learning and produces competitive or superior predictive intervals versus a statistical baseline on simulations and land-surface temperature data.