An online conformal prediction framework for non-exchangeable panel data that forms prediction sets using related units' contemporaneous data with adaptive similarity weights and miscoverage levels to deliver stepwise and long-run coverage guarantees.
ZN+1, t are independent across units and satisfy Zj, t ∼ N(µ j, Σ Z), whereµ j ∈R d1 andΣ Z ∈R d1×d1 is a common positive semidefinite covariance matrix
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Online Conformal Prediction for Non-Exchangeable Panel Data
An online conformal prediction framework for non-exchangeable panel data that forms prediction sets using related units' contemporaneous data with adaptive similarity weights and miscoverage levels to deliver stepwise and long-run coverage guarantees.