DESI DR1 Lyman-alpha data yields Δ²★=0.379±0.032 and n★=-2.309±0.019 at k★=0.009 km⁻¹s and z=3, sharpening N_eff, α_s, and β_s constraints by factors of 1.18-1.90 when combined with other probes.
Vanilla Inflation Predicts Negative Running
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abstract
We show that the simplest, and currently favoured, theoretical realizations of cosmic inflation yield a sharp prediction for the running of the spectral index $\alpha_\mathrm{S}$. Using latest cosmological data, we compute its marginalized posterior probability distribution over the space of nearly 300 models of single-field slow-roll inflation. The most probable value is $\alpha_\mathrm{S}=-6.3 \times 10^{-4}$, lying within the $98\%$ credible interval $-1.8 \times 10^{-3}< \alpha_\mathrm{S}< -9.1 \times 10^{-5}$. Within the landscape of all the proposed slow-roll inflationary models, positive values for the running are therefore disfavoured at more than three-sigma.
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Updated SKAO-AA4 forecasts show multi-tracer HI+galaxy analyses can reach σ(f_local_NL)≲1 and improve αs bounds by tens of percent when combined with future CMB, while foregrounds and GR light-cone effects remain the main systematics.
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Cosmological analysis of the DESI DR1 Lyman alpha 1D power spectrum
DESI DR1 Lyman-alpha data yields Δ²★=0.379±0.032 and n★=-2.309±0.019 at k★=0.009 km⁻¹s and z=3, sharpening N_eff, α_s, and β_s constraints by factors of 1.18-1.90 when combined with other probes.
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Beyond {\Lambda}CDM with the SKA Observatory -- II: Unveiling the Secrets of the Early Universe
Updated SKAO-AA4 forecasts show multi-tracer HI+galaxy analyses can reach σ(f_local_NL)≲1 and improve αs bounds by tens of percent when combined with future CMB, while foregrounds and GR light-cone effects remain the main systematics.