Nested sampling applied to ARIMA models enables Bayesian order selection and parameter inference that recovers ground truth in simulations and fits stochastic variability in sunspot, Kepler, and TESS light curves.
et al., 2025, @doi [A&A] 10.1051/0004-6361/202553719 , 700, A216
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Nested Sampling for ARIMA Model Selection in Astronomical Time-Series Analysis
Nested sampling applied to ARIMA models enables Bayesian order selection and parameter inference that recovers ground truth in simulations and fits stochastic variability in sunspot, Kepler, and TESS light curves.