An LLM-generated set of yes/no founder questions, combined by simple threshold voting, is reported to predict startup success with 13.1% precision versus a 1.9% base rate, though the supporting evidence has significant gaps.
Tree Prompting: Efficient Task Adaptation without Fine-Tuning
1 Pith paper cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
abstract
Prompting language models (LMs) is the main interface for applying them to new tasks. However, for smaller LMs, prompting provides low accuracy compared to gradient-based finetuning. Tree Prompting is an approach to prompting which builds a decision tree of prompts, linking multiple LM calls together to solve a task. At inference time, each call to the LM is determined by efficiently routing the outcome of the previous call using the tree. Experiments on classification datasets show that Tree Prompting improves accuracy over competing methods and is competitive with fine-tuning. We also show that variants of Tree Prompting allow inspection of a model's decision-making process.
fields
cs.AI 1years
2025 1verdicts
REJECT 1representative citing papers
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Random Rule Forest (RRF): Interpretable and Manageable Ensembles of LLM-Generated Questions for Predicting Success from Unstructured Data
An LLM-generated set of yes/no founder questions, combined by simple threshold voting, is reported to predict startup success with 13.1% precision versus a 1.9% base rate, though the supporting evidence has significant gaps.