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Augmented CARDS: A machine learning approach to identifying triggers of climate change misinformation on Twitter

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abstract

Misinformation about climate change poses a significant threat to societal well-being, prompting the urgent need for effective mitigation strategies. However, the rapid proliferation of online misinformation on social media platforms outpaces the ability of fact-checkers to debunk false claims. Automated detection of climate change misinformation offers a promising solution. In this study, we address this gap by developing a two-step hierarchical model, the Augmented CARDS model, specifically designed for detecting contrarian climate claims on Twitter. Furthermore, we apply the Augmented CARDS model to five million climate-themed tweets over a six-month period in 2022. We find that over half of contrarian climate claims on Twitter involve attacks on climate actors or conspiracy theories. Spikes in climate contrarianism coincide with one of four stimuli: political events, natural events, contrarian influencers, or convinced influencers. Implications for automated responses to climate misinformation are discussed.

fields

cs.CY 1

years

2025 1

verdicts

CONDITIONAL 1

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Enhancing LLMs for Governance with Human Oversight: Evaluating and Aligning LLMs on Expert Classification of Climate Misinformation for Detecting False or Misleading Claims about Climate Change

cs.CY · 2025-01-23 · conditional · novelty 6.0

Fine-tuned GPT-3.5-turbo agrees with expert climate coders on social media claims as often as the experts agree with each other (alpha=0.89), but the study's open-source benchmark is weakened by a flawed prompt and random replacement of invalid responses.

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