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Boltzmann and Fokker-Planck equations modelling the Elo rating system with learning effects

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abstract

In this paper we propose and study a new kinetic rating model for a large number of players, which is motivated by the well-known Elo rating system. Each player is characterised by an intrinsic strength and a rating, which are both updated after each game. We state and analyse the respective Boltzmann type equation and derive the corresponding nonlinear, nonlocal Fokker-Planck equation. We investigate the existence of solutions to the Fokker-Planck equation and discuss their behaviour in the long time limit. Furthermore, we illustrate the dynamics of the Boltzmann and Fokker-Planck equation with various numerical experiments.

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math.PR 1

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2024 1

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CONDITIONAL 1

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representative citing papers

Elo Ratings in the Presence of Intransitivity

math.PR · 2024-12-19 · conditional · novelty 7.0

Elo ratings in intransitive games are unique for a given schedule but shift with the schedule, so they cannot represent a single transitive skill scale.

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  • Elo Ratings in the Presence of Intransitivity math.PR · 2024-12-19 · conditional · none · ref 12 · internal anchor

    Elo ratings in intransitive games are unique for a given schedule but shift with the schedule, so they cannot represent a single transitive skill scale.