Estimating the behavior policy from longer histories provably reduces the asymptotic variance of importance-sampling based off-policy evaluation estimators at the cost of increased finite-sample bias, with different effects across IS, DR, and MIS.
High-probability sample complexities for policy evaluation with linear function approximation
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abstract
This paper is concerned with the problem of policy evaluation with linear function approximation in discounted infinite horizon Markov decision processes. We investigate the sample complexities required to guarantee a predefined estimation error of the best linear coefficients for two widely-used policy evaluation algorithms: the temporal difference (TD) learning algorithm and the two-timescale linear TD with gradient correction (TDC) algorithm. In both the on-policy setting, where observations are generated from the target policy, and the off-policy setting, where samples are drawn from a behavior policy potentially different from the target policy, we establish the first sample complexity bound with high-probability convergence guarantee that attains the optimal dependence on the tolerance level. We also exhihit an explicit dependence on problem-related quantities, and show in the on-policy setting that our upper bound matches the minimax lower bound on crucial problem parameters, including the choice of the feature maps and the problem dimension.
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Demystifying the Paradox of Importance Sampling with an Estimated History-Dependent Behavior Policy in Off-Policy Evaluation
Estimating the behavior policy from longer histories provably reduces the asymptotic variance of importance-sampling based off-policy evaluation estimators at the cost of increased finite-sample bias, with different effects across IS, DR, and MIS.