Develops a skew-adaptive split conformal prediction method that learns local skewness via a gauge-derived conformity score and an asinh residual model while preserving marginal validity under exchangeability.
Machine Learning: ECML 2002 , series =
2 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
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2026 2representative citing papers
Conformal Seasonal Pools is a training-free method that outperforms DeepNPTS on CRPS, quantile loss, and especially 95% coverage (0.89 vs 0.66) across six time-series datasets while being over 500x faster on CPU.
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Skew-adaptive conformal prediction
Develops a skew-adaptive split conformal prediction method that learns local skewness via a gauge-derived conformity score and an asinh residual model while preserving marginal validity under exchangeability.
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Training-Free Probabilistic Time-Series Forecasting with Conformal Seasonal Pools
Conformal Seasonal Pools is a training-free method that outperforms DeepNPTS on CRPS, quantile loss, and especially 95% coverage (0.89 vs 0.66) across six time-series datasets while being over 500x faster on CPU.