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The aftermath of the Great Collision between our Galaxy and the Large Magellanic Cloud

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abstract

The Milky Way (MW) offers a uniquely detailed view of galactic structure and is often regarded as a prototypical spiral galaxy. But recent observations indicate that the MW is atypical: it has an undersized supermassive black hole at its centre; it is surrounded by a very low mass, excessively metal-poor stellar halo; and it has an unusually large nearby satellite galaxy, the Large Magellanic Cloud (LMC). Here we show that the LMC is on a collision course with the MW with which it will merge in $2.4^{+1.2}_{-0.8}$ Gyrs (68% confidence level). This catastrophic and long-overdue event will restore the MW to normality. Using the EAGLE galaxy formation simulation, we show that, as a result of the merger, the central supermassive black hole will increase in mass by up to a factor of 8. The Galactic stellar halo will undergo an equally impressive transformation, becoming 5 times more massive. The additional stars will come predominantly from the disrupted LMC, but a sizeable number will be ejected onto the halo from the stellar disc. The post-merger stellar halo will have the median metallicity of the LMC, [Fe/H]=-0.5 dex, which is typical of other galaxies of similar mass to the MW. At the end of this exceptional event, the MW will become a true benchmark for spiral galaxies, at least temporarily.

fields

astro-ph.GA 1

years

2026 1

verdicts

UNVERDICTED 1

representative citing papers

The VMC survey -- LV. The coherent expansion of the SMC

astro-ph.GA · 2026-06-02 · unverdicted · novelty 4.0

Improved VMC proper motions show SMC expansion along SE-NW axes consistent with LMC tides, radial inward motions with no rotation, and northward motion in older RGB stars from a prior interaction.

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  • The VMC survey -- LV. The coherent expansion of the SMC astro-ph.GA · 2026-06-02 · unverdicted · none · ref 32 · internal anchor

    Improved VMC proper motions show SMC expansion along SE-NW axes consistent with LMC tides, radial inward motions with no rotation, and northward motion in older RGB stars from a prior interaction.