A new framework integrates data assimilation and information-theoretic diagnostics to identify latent precursors, pathways, and mechanisms of extreme events in partially observed stochastic dynamical systems.
A mathematical framework for critical transitions: Bifurcations, fast–slow systems and stochastic dynamics.Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 240(12):1020–1035
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Mechanisms and Pathways of Extreme Events in Partially-Observed Stochastic Dynamical Systems
A new framework integrates data assimilation and information-theoretic diagnostics to identify latent precursors, pathways, and mechanisms of extreme events in partially observed stochastic dynamical systems.