Markov categories provide a synthetic, axiom-based framework in which conditional independence, sufficiency, completeness, and classical theorems such as Basu and Bahadur hold uniformly across many probability theories.
Disintegration and Bayesian Inversion via String Diagrams
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abstract
The notions of disintegration and Bayesian inversion are fundamental in conditional probability theory. They produce channels, as conditional probabilities, from a joint state, or from an already given channel (in opposite direction). These notions exist in the literature, in concrete situations, but are presented here in abstract graphical formulations. The resulting abstract descriptions are used for proving basic results in conditional probability theory. The existence of disintegration and Bayesian inversion is discussed for discrete probability, and also for measure-theoretic probability --- via standard Borel spaces and via likelihoods. Finally, the usefulness of disintegration and Bayesian inversion is illustrated in several examples.
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math.ST 1years
2019 1verdicts
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A synthetic approach to Markov kernels, conditional independence and theorems on sufficient statistics
Markov categories provide a synthetic, axiom-based framework in which conditional independence, sufficiency, completeness, and classical theorems such as Basu and Bahadur hold uniformly across many probability theories.