Area-weighted global-mean SAT change exceeds a histogram-shift “global-scale” warming metric by 0.19–0.23°C (2000–2019 vs 1979) and 0.27–0.54°C by 2080–2099, mainly from Arctic amplification.
Geoscientific Model Development 9:1937–1958
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Global-mean surface air temperature change overestimates global warming rate
Area-weighted global-mean SAT change exceeds a histogram-shift “global-scale” warming metric by 0.19–0.23°C (2000–2019 vs 1979) and 0.27–0.54°C by 2080–2099, mainly from Arctic amplification.