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Measures of predictive accuracy, miscalibration and discrimination

stat.ME · 2026-05-12 · unverdicted · novelty 6.0

ABC, ABC squared, and Gini scores for predictive accuracy rely on predictor-dependent weights that misalign with mean-consistent loss functions, supporting instead the miscalibration and discrimination components from Murphy's decomposition.

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  • Measures of predictive accuracy, miscalibration and discrimination stat.ME · 2026-05-12 · unverdicted · none · ref 7

    ABC, ABC squared, and Gini scores for predictive accuracy rely on predictor-dependent weights that misalign with mean-consistent loss functions, supporting instead the miscalibration and discrimination components from Murphy's decomposition.