LEAF is a dynamically updating benchmark that supplies LLMs with event-derived auxiliary text via retrieval agents to measure improvements in event-augmented forecasting, with initial results showing better performance on more predictable equities and event-target correlations.
The median participant projected the federal funds rate to end 2025 at **3.6%**
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LEAF: A Living Benchmark for Event-Augmented Forecasting
LEAF is a dynamically updating benchmark that supplies LLMs with event-derived auxiliary text via retrieval agents to measure improvements in event-augmented forecasting, with initial results showing better performance on more predictable equities and event-target correlations.