The pipeline achieves 45.5-day median 1-year lifetime accuracy under fully predictive conditions, 4x better than ESA DRAMA and 8x better than NASA DAS, with a custom propagator offering 340x speedup.
Solar cycle prediction at NOAA's space weather prediction center
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Validation of Satellite Lifetime Predictions at Leonid Space
The pipeline achieves 45.5-day median 1-year lifetime accuracy under fully predictive conditions, 4x better than ESA DRAMA and 8x better than NASA DAS, with a custom propagator offering 340x speedup.