Formulates an avatar of the Fyodorov-Hiary-Keating conjecture for black hole microstate counts, implying sharp bounds on CFT primary operator interval counts and suggesting that AdS spectra exhibit extreme value statistics of Gaussian log-correlated random matrices.
Freezing and extreme value statistics in a Random Energy Model with logarithmically correlated potential
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abstract
We investigate some implications of the freezing scenario proposed by Carpentier and Le Doussal (CLD) for a random energy model (REM) with logarithmically correlated random potential. We introduce a particular (circular) variant of the model, and show that the integer moments of the partition function in the high-temperature phase are given by the well-known Dyson Coulomb gas integrals. The CLD freezing scenario allows one to use those moments for extracting the distribution of the free energy in both high- and low-temperature phases. In particular, it yields the full distribution of the minimal value in the potential sequence. This provides an explicit new class of extreme-value statistics for strongly correlated variables, manifestly different from the standard Gumbel class. -
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hep-th 1years
2026 1verdicts
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Black Holes and Random Variables
Formulates an avatar of the Fyodorov-Hiary-Keating conjecture for black hole microstate counts, implying sharp bounds on CFT primary operator interval counts and suggesting that AdS spectra exhibit extreme value statistics of Gaussian log-correlated random matrices.