Fuzzy cognitive maps model causal feedback via fuzzy signed directed graphs with cycles and nonlinear dynamics, support expert combination by matrix addition, and are applied to insurgency support and US-China Thucydides-trap relations while extending a prior transitive-influence theorem.
A computational model of public support for insurgency and terrorism: A prototype for more-general social-science modeling
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Beyond DAGs: Modeling Causal Feedback with Fuzzy Cognitive Maps
Fuzzy cognitive maps model causal feedback via fuzzy signed directed graphs with cycles and nonlinear dynamics, support expert combination by matrix addition, and are applied to insurgency support and US-China Thucydides-trap relations while extending a prior transitive-influence theorem.