Optimizing training data via a differentiable SCM yields climate emulators that outperform those trained on six standard ScenarioMIP pathways while using less data and isolating distinct forcing responses.
Learning non-Gaussian spatial distributions via Bayesian transport maps with parametric shrink- age
8 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
representative citing papers
Historically trained ML weather emulators quantify fast precipitation changes from CO2 perturbations and produce results that agree with Earth System Models.
Online conformal prediction post-processing guarantees calibrated uncertainty coverage for GenCast, NeuralGCM, and AIFS-ENS forecasts of temperature and precipitation including extremes.
Training climate emulators on random-CO2 runs that break SST–CO2 correlation, plus an energy constraint, yields a data-efficient model that works on AMIP+4K and abrupt 4xCO2 cases prior ACE models mishandled.
Diffusion model climate emulators provide probability density estimates that allow likelihood calculations and odds-ratio-based importance sampling for extreme events such as tropical cyclones.
A discrete-time energy-conserving neural map with FDT-derived causal regularization reproduces stationary statistics and forced responses of CdV and Lorenz-96 turbulence from unperturbed data alone.
Image-to-image networks estimate parameters of non-stationary SAR models faster and more accurately than traditional methods by framing fields and parameters as images.
DroughtFormer predicts soil moisture, vegetation health, and related variables in Africa with skill out to 90 days that matches or exceeds climatology for most targets, but shows lower accuracy for precipitation and flash drought indices.
citing papers explorer
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Optimal scenario design for climate emulation
Optimizing training data via a differentiable SCM yields climate emulators that outperform those trained on six standard ScenarioMIP pathways while using less data and isolating distinct forcing responses.
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Examining Fast Radiatively Driven Responses Using Machine-Learning Weather Emulators
Historically trained ML weather emulators quantify fast precipitation changes from CO2 perturbations and produce results that agree with Earth System Models.
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Rigorous uncertainty quantification of probabilistic AI weather forecasts with conformal prediction
Online conformal prediction post-processing guarantees calibrated uncertainty coverage for GenCast, NeuralGCM, and AIFS-ENS forecasts of temperature and precipitation including extremes.
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Disentangling the effects of sea surface temperature and CO$_2$ in global machine learned weather-climate emulators
Training climate emulators on random-CO2 runs that break SST–CO2 correlation, plus an energy constraint, yields a data-efficient model that works on AMIP+4K and abrupt 4xCO2 cases prior ACE models mishandled.
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Towards accurate extreme event likelihoods from diffusion model climate emulators
Diffusion model climate emulators provide probability density estimates that allow likelihood calculations and odds-ratio-based importance sampling for extreme events such as tropical cyclones.
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Physics constraints and response validation in discrete-time reduced-order modeling: from idealized turbulent systems to climate dynamics
A discrete-time energy-conserving neural map with FDT-derived causal regularization reproduces stationary statistics and forced responses of CdV and Lorenz-96 turbulence from unperturbed data alone.
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LatticeVision: Image to Image Networks for Modeling Non-Stationary Spatial Data
Image-to-image networks estimate parameters of non-stationary SAR models faster and more accurately than traditional methods by framing fields and parameters as images.
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Prediction of Drought and Flash Drought in Africa at the Seasonal-to-Subseasonal Scale using the Community Research Earth Digital Intelligence Twin Framework
DroughtFormer predicts soil moisture, vegetation health, and related variables in Africa with skill out to 90 days that matches or exceeds climatology for most targets, but shows lower accuracy for precipitation and flash drought indices.