Hyperparameter choice strongly alters the quality and composition of Monte Carlo Dropout and IVON uncertainty estimates for PPG-based AF and blood pressure models, and per-class calibration can differ sharply from global calibration.
Scalable Bayesian Learning with posteriors
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abstract
Although theoretically compelling, Bayesian learning with modern machine learning models is computationally challenging since it requires approximating a high dimensional posterior distribution. In this work, we (i) introduce posteriors, an easily extensible PyTorch library hosting general-purpose implementations making Bayesian learning accessible and scalable to large data and parameter regimes; (ii) present a tempered framing of stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo, as implemented in posteriors, that transitions seamlessly into optimization and unveils a minor modification to deep ensembles to ensure they are asymptotically unbiased for the Bayesian posterior, and (iii) demonstrate and compare the utility of Bayesian approximations through experiments including an investigation into the cold posterior effect and applications with large language models.
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cs.LG 1years
2025 1verdicts
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Uncertainty quantification with approximate variational learning for wearable photoplethysmography prediction tasks
Hyperparameter choice strongly alters the quality and composition of Monte Carlo Dropout and IVON uncertainty estimates for PPG-based AF and blood pressure models, and per-class calibration can differ sharply from global calibration.