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Shumailov, I · 2024

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When Is Next-Token Prediction Useful? Marginalization, Ergodicity, Mixture Identifiability, Local Sufficiency, RAG, Tools, and Programming

cs.CL · 2026-05-22 · unverdicted · novelty 5.0

Next-token prediction estimates a marginal text law that is useful only under ergodicity assumptions and when observed prefixes carry low residual mutual information about omitted latent circumstances.

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